Macroeconomic Forecasting
GDP, inflation, trade and business-confidence forecasts for 17 economies across Europe, the Americas and ASEAN — a multi-model engine blended with daily news sentiment, with every past call kept on the record.
24-hour free trial, no card · news-sentiment refreshed daily · forecasts up to a year ahead
Official statistics land weeks after the quarter they describe — GDP roughly six weeks late, surveys within a fortnight. So the latest official figure is already history. We estimate where each economy is today by anchoring the forecast to real-time news tone, and flag it honestly when a figure is a nowcast rather than a forecast of the future.
Knowing where an economy stands today is only half the picture. From the nowcast, every indicator extends into quarterly forecasts a full year ahead — each shown as a range of likely outcomes rather than a single number. For teams that need to plan further out, we build bespoke longer-horizon forecasts on request.
Daily news tone across every tracked economy, scored −100 to +100, on an interactive choropleth.
Per-indicator nowcasts and forecasts with probability ranges and a plain-English read on accuracy.
Textbook relationships — Okun, Phillips, Taylor and more — estimated per country and graded by the data.
A Bayesian-VAR engine: shock one variable and trace the ripple through the rest of the economy.
Indicator-aware sentiment analysis that interprets economic developments in context—for example, falling inflation is treated as positive news rather than simply a decline.
Dozens of forecasting approaches compete for every indicator, judged on how well they predicted quarters they had never seen. Only the most accurate is deployed — and every past call is kept on the books for you to inspect.
Not Just Macro
The engine behind these pages isn’t an economics model — it’s a general forecasting tournament. Dozens of statistical and machine-learning models compete on your series, are judged on quarters (or months, or weeks) they never saw, and only the proven winner is deployed. Economic indicators are simply the series we publish.
Inflation, GDP, trade, labour markets — the live public coverage you can inspect today.
Sales, orders, bookings or shipment volumes — with honest backtested error bars per series.
Sector output, pricing, utilisation, traffic — any recurring metric with enough history to learn from.
Bring a time series; the tournament picks the model that actually predicts it — and shows the receipts.
Have a series to forecast? Talk to us about custom coverage →
We partner with funds, corporates and policy teams to create customized dashboards, bespoke scenarios and tailored model coverage — your variables, your economies, your shocks. If the standard terminal doesn’t fit, we’ll build the one that does.
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