Macroeconomic Forecasting
Nowcasting Macro blends a multi-model forecast engine with daily news sentiment to read the present for the world’s major economies — nowcasts, forecasts and diagnostics in one terminal.
Official statistics land weeks after the quarter they describe — GDP roughly six weeks late, surveys within a fortnight. So the latest official figure is already history. We estimate where each economy is today by anchoring the forecast to real-time news tone, and flag it honestly when a figure is a nowcast rather than a forecast of the future.
Daily news tone across every tracked economy, scored −100 to +100, on an interactive choropleth.
Per-indicator nowcasts and forecasts with probability ranges and a plain-English read on accuracy.
Textbook relationships — Okun, Phillips, Taylor and more — estimated per country and graded by the data.
A Bayesian-VAR engine: shock one variable and trace the ripple through the rest of the economy.
Indicator-aware sentiment analysis that interprets economic developments in context—for example, falling inflation is treated as positive news rather than simply a decline.
Two dozen forecasting models compete; the most accurate is deployed. The reasoning is in the glossary.
We partner with funds, corporates and policy teams to create customized dashboards, bespoke scenarios and tailored model coverage — your variables, your economies, your shocks. If the standard terminal doesn’t fit, we’ll build the one that does.
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