Nowcasting Macro

Live Nowcast2026 Q2 (no official figure yet)

Singapore Merchandise Exports Forecast

Produced by a tournament of forecasting models judged on real out-of-sample accuracy — the figure below is the deployed model’s current read, refreshed automatically as official data and news arrive.

Latest official
196.03
2026 Q1
Nowcast
197.69
2026 Q2
Typical accuracy
±12.65
vs published actuals
197.692023 Q22026 Q12026 Q2

Recent official figures (solid) and the current nowcast (dot) with its typical-error range. Every past forecast is kept on the books — see how the number is made.

What is the Singapore Merchandise Exports nowcast for 2026 Q2?

Nowcasting Macro's latest nowcast puts Singapore Merchandise Exports at 197.69 for 2026 Q2, against the most recent official figure of 196.03 for 2026 Q1.

That points to a rise of about 1.66 index points from the last print.

Exports of goods and services in volume terms — how much the economy sells abroad, adjusted for prices.

Across our walk-forward backtest, the model deployed for this series has typically landed within ±12.65 of the published actual.

Over the past 4 quarters the series has risen from 144.89 (2025 Q1) to 196.03 (2026 Q1).

Higher = stronger external demand in real terms. Index levels are comparable across countries in growth terms (each country's own 2015 = 100). For ASEAN economies the index tracks trade values (incl. price effects), not volumes.

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