Live Nowcast — 2026 Q2 (no official figure yet)
Produced by a tournament of forecasting models judged on real out-of-sample accuracy — the figure below is the deployed model’s current read, refreshed automatically as official data and news arrive.
Recent official figures (solid) and the current nowcast (dot) with its typical-error range. Every past forecast is kept on the books — see how the number is made.
Nowcasting Macro's latest nowcast puts Germany Consumer Confidence (Harmonised) at 98.39 for 2026 Q2, against the most recent official figure of 99.19 for 2026 Q1.
That points to a decline of about 0.80 index points from the last print.
OECD harmonised consumer-confidence indicator: households' assessment of their financial situation, the general economy and big-ticket purchases.
Across our walk-forward backtest, the model deployed for this series has typically landed within ±0.04 of the published actual.
Over the past 4 quarters the series has eased from 99.53 (2025 Q1) to 99.19 (2026 Q1).
Above 100 = optimism relative to the long-run norm; below 100 = pessimism. Surveys publish within days of the reference month.
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