Live Nowcast — 2026 Q2 (no official figure yet)
Produced by a tournament of forecasting models judged on real out-of-sample accuracy — the figure below is the deployed model’s current read, refreshed automatically as official data and news arrive.
Recent official figures (solid) and the current nowcast (dot) with its typical-error range. Every past forecast is kept on the books — see how the number is made.
Nowcasting Macro's latest nowcast puts Philippines GDP Growth Rate at 1.11% for 2026 Q2, against the most recent official figure of 0.93% for 2026 Q1.
That points to a rise of about 0.18 percentage points from the last print.
Real gross domestic product growth — the headline measure of economic activity.
Across our walk-forward backtest, the model deployed for this series has typically landed within ±1.30% of the published actual.
Over the past 4 quarters the series has eased from 1.20% (2025 Q1) to 0.93% (2026 Q1).
Positive = the economy expanded vs the previous quarter. First estimates publish ~6 weeks after quarter-end and are revised.
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